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Appalachian State 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.70 26.70 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 379.93 379.93 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.70 5.70 (+0.00)

Appalachian State 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 32.80 32.01 (-0.79) 33.92 31.79 (-2.12) 31.79 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 440.70 430.79 (-9.91) 441.92 433.77 (-8.15) 433.77 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 6.22 6.12 (-0.10) 6.50 6.37 (-0.13) 6.37 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 31.80 35.45 (+3.65) 28.75 32.97 (+4.22) 32.97 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 381.00 377.82 (-3.18) 372.08 392.63 (+20.55) 392.63 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.73 5.79 (+0.06) 5.76 6.13 (+0.36) 6.13 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +1.6

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-02 Gardner-Webb Non-FBS Opponent W 45-24 1-0
2023-09-09 @North Carolina 32.85 48.26 +15.41 81.12 25.29% L 34-40 1-1
2023-09-16 East Carolina 33.85 16.98 -16.87 50.83 77.06% W 43-28 2-1
2023-09-23 @Wyoming 28.71 32.19 +3.48 60.90 44.42% L 19-22 2-2
2023-10-01 @Louisiana Monroe 43.89 18.80 -25.10 62.69 90.26% W 41-40 3-2
2023-10-10 Coastal Carolina 35.90 27.45 -8.45 63.35 63.55% L 24-27 3-3
2023-10-21 @Old Dominion 33.52 26.51 -7.00 60.03 61.24% L 21-28 3-4
2023-10-28 Southern Mississippi 48.59 25.60 -22.99 74.19 86.87% W 48-38 4-4
2023-11-04 Marshall 38.52 27.21 -11.31 65.72 68.14% W 31-9 5-4
2023-11-11 @Georgia State 37.26 28.77 -8.49 66.04 63.62% W 42-14 6-4
2023-11-18 @James Madison 26.76 41.24 +14.48 68.00 26.77% W 26-23 7-4
2023-11-25 Georgia Southern 44.85 32.26 -12.59 77.10 70.19% W 55-27 8-4
2023-12-02 @Troy 20.34 32.98 +12.64 53.32 29.73% L 23-49 8-5
Postseason
2023-12-16 Miami (OH) 28.72 22.11 -6.61 50.83 60.60% W 13-9 9-5

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
9-5 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
2-12 0.01%
3-11 0.05%
4-10 0.38%
5-9 1.97%
6-8 6.28%
7-7 14.24%
8-6 22.15%
9-5 24.19%
10-4 18.21%
11-3 9.11%
12-2 2.84%
13-1 0.53%
14-0 0.04%